Schweinfurt 2-2 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 54%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.00/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.99
-21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 5-0 HT 2-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-0 HT 1-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
20.11.2021 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-2 HT 2-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
31.07.2021 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 5-1 HT 4-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
02.11.2019 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-2 HT 1-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt and Aubstadt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aubstadt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Schweinfurt and 2.00 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Aubstadt?

Schweinfurt 2-2 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 28%, draw 27%, Aubstadt 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubstadt), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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