Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.9pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.75/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.85
-11% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Meuselwitz
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-3 HT 0-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1-2
AWAY Meuselwitz
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz nicked a narrow win over Chemnitzer FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chemnitzer FC had 54% of the ball to Meuselwitz's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.60 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz?

Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 48%, draw 25%, Meuselwitz 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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