Holstein Kiel II 1-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2024

Holstein Kiel II
1-1 HT 1-0
St. Pauli II
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel II v St. Pauli II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.85/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.47
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
4W-2D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
08.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
13.09.2020 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II and St. Pauli II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Holstein Kiel II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 0.33 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II?

Holstein Kiel II 1-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 43%, draw 24%, St. Pauli II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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