Hamburg II 3-2 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
2.35/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.78
+46% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Havelse
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
29.10.2023 Havelse Havelse 2-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Havelse Havelse 1-2 HT 1-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
08.09.2019 Havelse Havelse 3-2 HT 2-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg II
3-2
AWAY Havelse
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II squeezed past Havelse 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamburg II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamburg II had 49% of the ball to Havelse's 51%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamburg II and 2.00 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Havelse?

Hamburg II 3-2 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 43%, draw 20%, Havelse 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
27 Apr 2024
14:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:00 Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II Analysis →
14:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
15:00 Hessen Kassel vs Homburg Analysis →
15:00 Bayern München II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg Analysis →
15:00 Schweinfurt vs Aubstadt Analysis →