Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0-1 HT 0-0
Bayern München II
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Aschaffenburg v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.78
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses 16.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.79 xG 1.72
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
143 Passes 512
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
26.09.2015 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 Bayern München II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0-1
AWAY Bayern München II
0.74 xG 1.62
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
154 Passes 392
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II edged past Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Bayern München II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Viktoria Aschaffenburg had 34% of the ball to Bayern München II's 66%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.74 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 1.80 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayern München II?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 36%, draw 25%, Bayern München II 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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