Lanus 1-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.12
No
57%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.18
2-3
41%
1.81
4-5
18%
5.75
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
9%
5.19
X/2
12%
5.43
X/X
15%
3.44
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.3
2/X
5%
14.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors The Market 37%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.21/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.25
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.2 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.30
37% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
229 Passes 453
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2024 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
24.09.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
11.06.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
15.09.2022 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
18.04.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
10.10.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-2 HT 2-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.14 xG 0.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
282 Passes 401
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Lanus vs Boca Juniors
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lanus nicked a narrow win over Boca Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Boca Juniors saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Lanus against 1.50 for Boca Juniors.

Lanus vs Boca Juniors Result & Final Score

Lanus 1-0 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lanus vs Boca Juniors Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lanus 41%, draw 30%, Boca Juniors 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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