Tecnico Universitario 2-0 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 Nov 2024

Tecnico Universitario
2-0 HT 0-0
Uni. Catolica
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tecnico Universitario v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.17/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.94
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
216 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 15.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 412
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
05.08.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
26.02.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 4-1 HT 2-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
13.09.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
14.08.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Tecnico Universitario 2-0 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2-0
AWAY Uni. Catolica
2.16 xG 0.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
227 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario saw off Uni. Catolica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Tecnico Universitario made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 41% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 59%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.16 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.67 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica?

Tecnico Universitario 2-0 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 34%, draw 27%, Uni. Catolica 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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