Ethiopian Insurance 4-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.88/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.01
+80% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
4-0
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance swept aside Mekelle Kenema 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 58% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 42%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelle Kenema?

Ethiopian Insurance 4-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 41%, draw 31%, Mekelle Kenema 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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