Mekelakeya 2-0 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.52
+53% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
2-0
AWAY Adama City
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya beat Adama City 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 57% of the ball to Adama City's 43%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Adama City?

Mekelakeya 2-0 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 42%, draw 27%, Adama City 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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