Utrecht II vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht II v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht II vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Utrecht II
HOL2
3-0
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-4
HT 2-2
Utrecht II
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
Utrecht II 4-3 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht II edged past MVV Maastricht 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was MVV Maastricht at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Utrecht II had 57% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 43%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.52 to 1.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Utrecht II's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utrecht II and 1.33 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of Utrecht II vs MVV Maastricht?
Utrecht II 4-3 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated an MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 32%, draw 25%, MVV Maastricht 43%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.