PSV II 2-3 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Nov 2024

PSV II
2-3 HT 0-2
Emmen
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

PSV II vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.54
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.33
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
20.2
1/X
11%
13.55
X/1
14%
8.39
X/2
14%
4.61
X/X
8%
6.17
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
18%
2.34
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.2 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.13/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.93
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
12.8 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

PSV II vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emmen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
400 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2024 PSV II PSV II 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.03.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-3 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
19.11.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
05.03.2018 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.10.2017 Emmen Emmen 3-1 HT 2-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2

PSV II 2-3 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
2-3
AWAY Emmen
1.38 xG 2.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
376 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen nicked a narrow win over PSV II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, PSV II had 54% of the ball to Emmen's 46%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.38 to 2.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Emmen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PSV II and 1.67 for Emmen.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Emmen?

PSV II 2-3 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PSV II 29%, draw 25%, Emmen 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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