PSV II 3-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Feb 2024

PSV II
3-0 HT 2-0
Emmen
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

PSV II vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
10%
6.4
X/2
18%
5.32
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.01
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.25
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
14.5 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

PSV II vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Emmen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 452
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.03.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-3 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
19.11.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
05.03.2018 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.10.2017 Emmen Emmen 3-1 HT 2-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
27.01.2017 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2

PSV II 3-0 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
3-0
AWAY Emmen
1.54 xG 0.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
385 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
3 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II ran out comfortable winners over Emmen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; PSV II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 54% of the ball to Emmen's 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.54 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PSV II and 1.83 for Emmen.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Emmen?

PSV II 3-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSV II 36%, draw 23%, Emmen 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Emmen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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