Telstar 3-2 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Feb 2024

Telstar
3-2 HT 3-1
Helmond Sport
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Telstar vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.35
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
12%
5.82
X/X
9%
4.45
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
19%
4.14
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.26
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.9 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Telstar vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
17.03.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
26.08.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
11.02.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
22.10.2021 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 2-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
29.01.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2

Telstar 3-2 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
3-2
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.88 xG 1.81
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 441
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar squeezed past Helmond Sport 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Telstar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Telstar had 37% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 63%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.88 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Telstar and 1.50 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Helmond Sport?

Telstar 3-2 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Telstar 37%, draw 25%, Helmond Sport 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
9 Feb 2024
22:00 PSV II vs Emmen Analysis →
22:00 De Graafschap vs Willem II Analysis →
22:00 Roda vs Dordrecht Analysis →
22:00 NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven Analysis →