Asyut Petroleum 2-0 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.16
No
43%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
42%
+14.6pp
43%
BTTS No
58%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum beat Al Mokawloon 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Asyut Petroleum found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon?

Asyut Petroleum 2-0 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 35%, draw 28%, Al Mokawloon 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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