04/11/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
28%
Draw
29%
38%
Away Win
45%
52%
Under 2.5
64%
48%
Over 2.5
36%
57%
BTTS Yes
42%
43%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asyut Petroleum v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Asyut Petroleum
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Mokawloon
EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-42%
/
-18%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
299 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Asyut Petroleum beat Al Mokawloon 2-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Asyut Petroleum found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon?
Asyut Petroleum 2-0 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Al Mokawloon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 35%, draw 28%, Al Mokawloon 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
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