Sporting Alexandria 1-3 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Alexandria
1-3
AWAY Derot
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Alexandria vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derot saw off Sporting Alexandria 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Alexandria at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Alexandria had 52% of the ball to Derot's 48%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Sporting Alexandria vs Derot?

Sporting Alexandria 1-3 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Alexandria vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Alexandria win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting Alexandria 54%, draw 24%, Derot 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Alexandria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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