Matagalpa 1-0 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.94/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.51
-8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rancho Santana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
25.08.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa squeezed past Rancho Santana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Matagalpa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

Matagalpa 1-0 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 52%, draw 25%, Rancho Santana 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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