Deportivo Ocotal 3-4 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 62%
+19% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.56/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.03
+38% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
09.10.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
12.08.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.03.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
29.01.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
11.09.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Ocotal 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 2.67 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Real Esteli?

Deportivo Ocotal 3-4 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 24%, draw 26%, Real Esteli 50%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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