Katowice vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Katowice v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals
Katowice vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Katowice
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-1
Katowice
POL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Korona Kielce
POL1
Katowice 1-2 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics
Korona Kielce edged past Katowice 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Korona Kielce made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Katowice had 61% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 39%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katowice had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Katowice and 0.33 for Korona Kielce.
What was the final score of Katowice vs Korona Kielce?
Katowice 1-2 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Katowice vs Korona Kielce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Katowice 39%, draw 31%, Korona Kielce 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.