Zaglebie Lubin 3-0 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.19
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
10%
6.43
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.24
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.0 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
29.07.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-2 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
28.01.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-3 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
15.07.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
27.02.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
29.08.2021 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-3 HT 1-2 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
3-0
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.25 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
187 Passes 267
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin swept aside Slask Wroclaw 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zaglebie Lubin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 44% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 56%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.25 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.00 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Zaglebie Lubin 3-0 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 41%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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