Tondela 2-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Nov 2024

Tondela
2-0 HT 2-0
UD Oliveirense
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Tondela vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tondela v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.23/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.64
-47% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.5 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tondela vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
1W-3D-2L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.05.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 2-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
30.12.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
01.04.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
19.10.2022 Tondela Tondela 1-3 HT 1-2 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
17.07.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela HAZ
22.07.2015 Tondela Tondela 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense HAZ

Tondela 2-0 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
2-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.02 xG 0.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
404 Passes 359
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tondela vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela saw off UD Oliveirense 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tondela had 51% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 49%, shots finished 14-1, expected goals 2.02 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tondela and 0.83 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Tondela vs UD Oliveirense?

Tondela 2-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tondela 47%, draw 24%, UD Oliveirense 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ BTTS No
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