Lamphun Warrior 2-2 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.29/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.22
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.6 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2W-0D-1L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.00 xG 1.01
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-0 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
11.02.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 3-0 HT 2-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
09.09.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2-2
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.03 xG 1.73
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
130 Passes 470
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior and BG Pathum United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 28% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 72%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.03 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 0.33 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?

Lamphun Warrior 2-2 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 38%, draw 27%, BG Pathum United 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✗ BTTS No
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