Lamphun Warrior 2-0 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Lamphun Warrior
2-0 HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.61
No
61%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+15.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-15.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
58%
-19.0pp
61%
BTTS No
42%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lamphun Warrior v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.92
-14% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.5 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1W-0D-1L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 0.94
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
222 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.02.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 3-0 HT 2-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
09.09.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY

Lamphun Warrior 2-0 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2-0
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.09 xG 1.16
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
181 Passes 354
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior saw off BG Pathum United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lamphun Warrior found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 36% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 64%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.09 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 0.50 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?

Lamphun Warrior 2-0 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 32%, draw 34%, BG Pathum United 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BG Pathum United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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