Sukhothai 2-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Sukhothai
2-1 HT 0-1
Chiangrai United
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sukhothai v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 32%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.25/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.13
-57% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.3 Crosses 12.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-1 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
25.02.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
01.10.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY

Sukhothai 2-1 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
2-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.34 xG 0.97
63% Ball Possession 37%
32 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
370 Passes 185
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
54 Box Touches 15
41 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai nicked a narrow win over Chiangrai United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sukhothai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sukhothai had 63% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 37%, shots finished 32-10, expected goals 2.34 to 0.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sukhothai's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sukhothai and 1.00 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United?

Sukhothai 2-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 42%, draw 26%, Chiangrai United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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