Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Police Tero
1-1 HT 0-1
Nakhon Pathom
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.03
Over 2.5
37%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
45%
+17.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
55%
-17.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.0pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police Tero v Nakhon Pathom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police Tero EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.3 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Pathom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police Tero
1-1
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
2.08 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police Tero and Nakhon Pathom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Police Tero had 59% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 41%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.08 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?

Police Tero 1-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police Tero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Police Tero 38%, draw 28%, Nakhon Pathom 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police Tero), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police Tero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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