Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
17%
3.7
X/2
9%
11.15
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1
11%
21.45
2/2
7%
9.26
2/X
8%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Samsunspor win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.39/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.84
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
13.0 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
23.09.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
05.06.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TP1L
08.03.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
18.10.2014 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
03.03.2012 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.83 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
275 Passes 394
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor got the better of Antalyaspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 43% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.83 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samsunspor and 1.17 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor?

Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 52%, draw 25%, Antalyaspor 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ BTTS No
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