Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 36% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.44
X/2
12%
6.88
X/X
17%
4.25
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
18%
5.27
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.49
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.8 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 268
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
05.06.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TP1L
08.03.2015 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
18.10.2014 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
03.03.2012 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
26.11.2011 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.92 xG 0.52
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
216 Passes 412
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor beat Antalyaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Samsunspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Samsunspor had 39% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 61%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.92 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samsunspor and 1.17 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor?

Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 33%, draw 31%, Antalyaspor 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Antalyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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