Trabzonspor 2-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.6
X/1
10%
3.71
X/2
10%
10.45
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
9%
24.15
2/2
8%
8.6
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.65/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.73
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.0 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.01.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.08.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
06.05.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.12.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
17.04.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-0
AWAY Hatayspor
1.99 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
477 Passes 282
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
53 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor beat Hatayspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 61% of the ball to Hatayspor's 39%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.99 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.17 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Hatayspor?

Trabzonspor 2-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 53%, draw 23%, Hatayspor 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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