Asteras Tripolis 3-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.84
X/2
13%
6.13
X/X
15%
4.11
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.61
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.08/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.08
-17% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.8 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFI
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 1.02
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
269 Passes 454
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
21.12.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
22.04.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
21.01.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
02.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3-0
AWAY OFI
1.21 xG 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
238 Passes 421
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis ran out comfortable winners over OFI 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Asteras Tripolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 39% of the ball to OFI's 61%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.21 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.50 for OFI.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Asteras Tripolis 3-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 35%, draw 29%, OFI 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (OFI), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →