Asteras Tripolis 1-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

Asteras Tripolis
1-1 HT 1-0
OFI
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Asteras Tripolis vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.63
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
45%
2.74
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
11%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 45% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.82
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
3%
10.4
X/1
4%
6.11
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
6.84
X/X
29%
3.31
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.54
2/X
3%
10.55
Value flag · X/2 at 6.84 — our 21% vs market 10.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
36%
-8.8pp
35%
Draw
35%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asteras Tripolis v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
0.83/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.07
-30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.3 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Asteras Tripolis vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY OFI
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.35 xG 1.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
266 Passes 448
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
22.04.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
21.01.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
02.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
08.05.2022 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-1
AWAY OFI
1.20 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
346 Passes 452
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and OFI shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (27% / 35% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 44% of the ball to OFI's 56%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.50 for OFI.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 27%, draw 35%, OFI 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFI), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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