Panaitolikos 1-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.0
X/2
10%
9.9
X/X
10%
4.77
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
14%
7.85
2/X
9%
15.2
Value flag · 1/X at 14.25 — our 9% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.19/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
+12% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.8 Crosses 14.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atromitos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
28.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
06.05.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
04.01.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
04.09.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.04.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-3 HT 2-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-0
AWAY Atromitos
0.83 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 265
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panaitolikos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 51% of the ball to Atromitos's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.83 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atromitos.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.50 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?

Panaitolikos 1-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 42%, draw 28%, Atromitos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panaitolikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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