Volos NFC 1-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
14%
3.73
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
14%
5.26
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
14%
9.48
2/X
5%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-15.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.09
-7% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +103%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 69%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.8 Crosses 10.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
180 Passes 289
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-2 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
29.11.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
1-0
AWAY Panserraikos
1.35 xG 0.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 1
306 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC squeezed past Panserraikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Volos NFC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volos NFC had 48% of the ball to Panserraikos's 52%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.35 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Volos NFC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Volos NFC and 1.00 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs Panserraikos?

Volos NFC 1-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 45%, draw 27%, Panserraikos 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volos NFC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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