Kifisia 2-3 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

Kifisia
2-3 HT 1-1
PAS Giannina
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Kifisia vs PAS Giannina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.25
X/1
24%
3.64
X/2
5%
12.5
X/X
10%
5.92
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
10%
9.9
2/X
6%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kifisia v PAS Giannina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
– Crosses 14.5
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Kifisia vs PAS Giannina Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
250 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 4-2 HT 3-2 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
20.08.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 3-0 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
19.08.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-0 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN

Kifisia 2-3 PAS Giannina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
2-3
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.99 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
222 Passes 246
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAS Giannina squeezed past Kifisia 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kifisia at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kifisia had 49% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 51%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.99 to 1.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kifisia.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PAS Giannina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kifisia and 2.00 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs PAS Giannina?

Kifisia 2-3 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kifisia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 58%, draw 21%, PAS Giannina 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kifisia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kifisia) ✓ Over 2.5
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