Sepahan 2-2 Ahal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 4 Nov 2025

Sepahan
2-2 HT 1-1
Ahal
📅04/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Sepahan vs Ahal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.05
No
55%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
8%
6.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.8 — our 26% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
2%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.7pp
22%
Draw
11%
+10.7pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
29%
+15.9pp
55%
BTTS No
71%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sepahan v Ahal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahal EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Sepahan vs Ahal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ahal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.67 xG 0.03
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
440 Passes 187
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
49 Box Touches 1
37 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.10.2025 Ahal Ahal 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan AFCŞL2

Sepahan 2-2 Ahal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepahan
2-2
AWAY Ahal
2.72 xG 1.08
75% Ball Possession 25%
27 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
433 Passes 111
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
49 Box Touches 4
47 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Ahal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan and Ahal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sepahan at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sepahan had 75% of the ball to Ahal's 25%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 2.72 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Ahal?

Sepahan 2-2 Ahal in the AFCŞL2 on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Ahal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 68%, draw 22%, Ahal 10%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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