Volta Redonda 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 36% vs market 32.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 28%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.84/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.20
+10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
27.1 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volta Redonda
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.81 xG 0.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 435
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BR2
25.09.2022 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 1-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
21.08.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 3-1 HT 3-0 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRE3
31.07.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-0 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volta Redonda
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.96 xG 1.99
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volta Redonda vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP edged past Volta Redonda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Volta Redonda at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Volta Redonda had 61% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 39%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botafogo SP led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Volta Redonda and 1.75 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Volta Redonda vs Botafogo SP?

Volta Redonda 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volta Redonda vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volta Redonda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Volta Redonda 51%, draw 26%, Botafogo SP 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Volta Redonda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volta Redonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
4 Nov 2025
01:00 America Mineiro vs Novorizontino Analysis →