Atletico Madrid U19 5-0 Union Saint-Gilloise U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.18
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.46
Over 2.5
70%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.0
2-3 Goals
36%
2.32
4-5 Goals
28%
2.29
6+ Goals
18%
3.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
80%
-6.1pp
14%
Draw
11%
+2.6pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
25%
+4.9pp
70%
Over 2.5
75%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.98/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/6.00
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -58%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
615 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid U19
5-0
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise U19
2.98 xG 0.90
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
444 Passes 170
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid U19 vs Union Saint-Gilloise U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid U19 cruised past Union Saint-Gilloise U19 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Madrid U19 had 68% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise U19's 32%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.98 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid U19 vs Union Saint-Gilloise U19?

Atletico Madrid U19 5-0 Union Saint-Gilloise U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid U19 vs Union Saint-Gilloise U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid U19 74%, draw 14%, Union Saint-Gilloise U19 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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