Paris SG U19 3-0 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.79
2-3 Goals
37%
2.29
4-5 Goals
29%
2.29
6+ Goals
15%
3.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.5pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.25/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.19
+127% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
11.0 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris SG U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayern München U19
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.58 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 10
329 Passes 421
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 33
4 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2024 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 2-5 HT 0-2 Paris SG U19 Paris SG U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris SG U19
3-0
AWAY Bayern München U19
3.85 xG 0.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
381 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris SG U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris SG U19 cruised past Bayern München U19 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paris SG U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Paris SG U19 had 59% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 41%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.85 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Paris SG U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Paris SG U19 3-0 Bayern München U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris SG U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris SG U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paris SG U19 56%, draw 21%, Bayern München U19 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris SG U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris SG U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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