FK Pardubice 2-2 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.02/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.61
-15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
10.2 Crosses 24.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 1.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
154 Passes 269
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
21.10.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.02.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
04.09.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
27.11.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-5 HT 1-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
31.07.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-2 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-2
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
0.68 xG 2.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
319 Passes 208
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice and Sigma Olomouc couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Pardubice at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 57% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 43%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.68 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.17 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Sigma Olomouc?

FK Pardubice 2-2 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 43%, draw 29%, Sigma Olomouc 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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