Jablonec 5-0 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.68 — our 22% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.89/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.52
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.02 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-2 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
17.02.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 5-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
16.11.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEKK
02.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 5-1 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
29.10.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
5-0
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.74 xG 0.76
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
451 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec ran out comfortable winners over Ceske Budejovice 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jablonec had 58% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.74 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Jablonec and 2.00 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Ceske Budejovice?

Jablonec 5-0 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 63%, draw 21%, Ceske Budejovice 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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