Ceske Budejovice 2-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.51/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.09
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 66%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.0 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jablonec
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 2.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 Passes 273
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 5-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
16.11.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEKK
02.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 5-1 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
29.10.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
13.03.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
2-2
AWAY Jablonec
1.31 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceske Budejovice and Jablonec shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ceske Budejovice at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 46% of the ball to Jablonec's 54%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.31 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 2.00 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Jablonec?

Ceske Budejovice 2-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceske Budejovice win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 48%, draw 24%, Jablonec 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) ✓ Over 2.5
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