Teplice 0-1 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.94/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.87
+12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.6 Crosses 10.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
214 Passes 171
66% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.10.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
02.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
08.10.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 4-1 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
20.03.2022 Teplice Teplice 1-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.10.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-0 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
0-1
AWAY Hradec Kralove
0.90 xG 0.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
358 Passes 189
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove squeezed past Teplice 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Hradec Kralove found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Teplice had 62% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 38%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.90 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Teplice and 1.83 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Hradec Kralove?

Teplice 0-1 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Teplice 39%, draw 31%, Hradec Kralove 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Teplice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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