FK Pardubice 4-0 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.37/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karvina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.20 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.08.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
07.05.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
20.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
24.07.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-2 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
02.05.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
4-0
AWAY Karvina
2.36 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
345 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice cruised past Karvina 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 33% — and on the day FK Pardubice made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 52% of the ball to Karvina's 48%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.36 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.33 for Karvina.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Karvina?

FK Pardubice 4-0 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 34%, draw 32%, Karvina 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Pardubice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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