FC Fastav Zlin 1-2 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.76/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.26
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.5 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.54 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
198 Passes 187
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
07.10.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
05.11.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-2 HT 0-2 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
07.05.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-4 HT 1-4 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.02.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
11.09.2021 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
1-2
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.55 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
211 Passes 231
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Fastav Zlin vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 edged past FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Fastav Zlin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Fastav Zlin had 50% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.55 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Fastav Zlin and 2.17 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of FC Fastav Zlin vs Bohemians 1905?

FC Fastav Zlin 1-2 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fastav Zlin vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fastav Zlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Fastav Zlin 41%, draw 24%, Bohemians 1905 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin)
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