Teplice 0-1 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.69/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.22
+15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
02.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
08.10.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 4-1 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
20.03.2022 Teplice Teplice 1-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.10.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-0 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
24.10.2017 Teplice Teplice 2-3 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
0-1
AWAY Hradec Kralove
0.95 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
214 Passes 171
66% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove squeezed past Teplice 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Hradec Kralove made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Teplice had 54% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 46%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.95 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Teplice and 2.17 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Hradec Kralove?

Teplice 0-1 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Teplice 40%, draw 28%, Hradec Kralove 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Teplice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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