FK Pardubice 1-1 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.56/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.71
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
10.0 Crosses 9.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
30.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
31.07.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
05.03.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-3 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
02.10.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
09.05.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-1
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.65 xG 0.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
297 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice and Ceske Budejovice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FK Pardubice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 55% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 45%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.65 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceske Budejovice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.17 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Ceske Budejovice?

FK Pardubice 1-1 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 45%, draw 25%, Ceske Budejovice 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Pardubice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✓ BTTS Yes
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