Sparta Prag 1-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.9pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.87/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.2 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.02.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
20.03.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
24.10.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
16.05.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-5 HT 2-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.58 xG 0.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
372 Passes 220
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
46 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag and Mlada Boleslav couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 60% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Sparta Prag 1-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 54%, draw 25%, Mlada Boleslav 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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