Jablonec 2-3 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.96
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
11.02.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
20.04.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
24.07.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 1-0 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
2-3
AWAY Banik Ostrava
0.84 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 139
69% Pass Accuracy 54%
15 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava nicked a narrow win over Jablonec 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Banik Ostrava made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jablonec had 62% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 38%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.84 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jablonec and 0.67 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Jablonec 2-3 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 34%, draw 27%, Banik Ostrava 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ BTTS Yes
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