Jablonec 5-2 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.84/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.74
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEKK
02.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 5-1 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
29.10.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
13.03.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.10.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 1-2 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
5-2
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.87 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 239
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec cruised past Ceske Budejovice 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jablonec had 53% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 47%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.87 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceske Budejovice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jablonec and 2.00 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Ceske Budejovice?

Jablonec 5-2 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 46%, draw 28%, Ceske Budejovice 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ BTTS Yes
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