FK Pardubice 1-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
-12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Teplice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
06.05.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
19.03.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-1 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
02.10.2022 Teplice Teplice 5-1 HT 2-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
14.05.2022 Teplice Teplice 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
17.04.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-1
AWAY Teplice
0.56 xG 0.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
241 Passes 285
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice and Teplice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 46% of the ball to Teplice's 54%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.56 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.17 for Teplice.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Teplice?

FK Pardubice 1-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 39%, draw 30%, Teplice 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Pardubice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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