Mlada Boleslav 1-3 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.97/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.20
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
22.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.10.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.02.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.08.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.04.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-3
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.05 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 4
323 Passes 355
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava saw off Mlada Boleslav 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 49% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 51%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 1.05 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.83 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava?

Mlada Boleslav 1-3 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 42%, draw 26%, Banik Ostrava 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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