Bromley 2-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.13 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.71
X/2
12%
6.37
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.83
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 33%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.69/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.06
-31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.5 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromley
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
21.07.2015 Bromley Bromley 1-2 HT 0-2 Gillingham Gillingham HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
2-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.12 xG 0.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
95 Passes 255
50% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley nicked a narrow win over Gillingham 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Bromley made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bromley had 36% of the ball to Gillingham's 64%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.12 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Gillingham?

Bromley 2-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bromley 37%, draw 30%, Gillingham 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bromley), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bromley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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